Penarol vs Juventud: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2015 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Juventud?
Penarol won 1-0 on December 6, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 25′C. PalaciosPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Juventud have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 8, 2015 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Villa Teresa(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2015 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2015 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 21, 2015 | SUD America(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 8, 2015 | Fenix(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2015 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Juventud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2015 | Penarol 4-1 Juventud | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Juventud 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 3, 2014 | Penarol 4-0 Juventud | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Juventud 0-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 26, 2013 | Juventud 1-5 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 2, 2012 | Penarol 2-0 Juventud | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.0 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Juventud | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy