Penarol vs Miramar: result 4-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 11Kick-off on April 12, 2025 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Miramar?
Penarol won 4-2 on April 12, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′M. FernándezMiramar
- 5′L. FernándezPenarol
- 35′L. UmpiérrezPenarol
- 66′J. BáezPenarol
- 85′A. MachadoPenarol
- 90′P. LópezMiramar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Miramar have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Danubio(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Velez Sarsfield(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Juventud(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Atletico Torque(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Cerro(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Progreso(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Miramar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2024 | Miramar 1-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Penarol 2-0 Miramar | Primera División |
| Apr 5, 2014 | Miramar 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 3, 2013 | Penarol 5-0 Miramar | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Miramar score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Miramar | 0.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy