Penarol vs Progreso: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 14Kick-off on May 23, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Progreso?
Penarol won 3-1 on May 23, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 43′M. GianoliProgreso (o.g.)
- 59′Léo CoelhoPenarol
- 70′Léo CoelhoPenarol
- 90′L. HernándezPenarol
Official lineup for Penarol vs Progreso
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Penarol
5-3-2- 22Matheus Babi
- 28J. Neris
- 9F. González
- 25I. Sosa
- 5S. Cristóforo
- 19D. Sosa
- 34N. Herrera
- 3M. Gianoli
- 2Léo Coelho
- 6B. Castillo
- 1R. Rodríguez
Progreso
4-3-1-2- 19F. López
- 11G. Colmán
- 29N. Fernández
- 4A. Colombino
- 27G. Andrada
- 10I. Lemmo
- 6F. Silvera
- 2S. Cardozo
- 3M. Marta
- 17J. Poiso
- 33N. Suárez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Progreso have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| May 14, 2024 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 11, 2024 | Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| May 7, 2024 | Caracas FC(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 3, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | Fenix(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| May 12, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| May 4, 2024 | Wanderers(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 21, 2024 | CA River Plate(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Penarol wins, 3 draws, 0 Progreso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2021 | Progreso 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Progreso 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Penarol 2-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 27, 2019 | Progreso 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 20, 2019 | Progreso 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 2.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Progreso | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 3rd in Primera División (20 points from 10 matches) and Progreso sit 9th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penarol | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Penarol vs Progreso?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy