Penarol vs Progreso: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 1Kick-off on August 1, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Progreso?
Penarol won 2-1 on August 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 30′A. CougoProgreso
- 77′L. FernándezPenarol
- 90′M. ArezoPenarol
Official lineup for Penarol vs Progreso
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Penarol
- 11M. Silvera
- 5I. Sosa
- 7J. Cabrera
- 10L. Fernández
- 24J. Trindade
- 80D. Terans
- 15M. Olivera
- 17E. Gularte
- 22D. Suárez
- 34N. Herrera
- 25M. Campaña
Progreso
- 19F. López
- 5A. Pinheiro
- 8A. Colombino
- 10I. Lemmo
- 29N. Fernández
- 4M. Paolini
- 6F. Kidd
- 16G. Trasante
- 23N. Olivera
- 40A. Cougo
- 1N. Gentilio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Progreso have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2025 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Cerro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Jun 15, 2025 | CA River Plate(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2025 | Juventud(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Boston River(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Atletico Torque(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Miramar(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Penarol wins, 1 draw, 0 Progreso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Progreso 1-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Progreso 1-5 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Progreso 0-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 23, 2024 | Penarol 3-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2021 | Progreso 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.8 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Progreso | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Progreso sit 12th (39 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
A question about Penarol vs Progreso?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy