Progreso vs Penarol: result 1-3 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 1Kick-off on February 1, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Penarol?
Penarol won 1-3 on February 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 20′J. BáezPenarol
- 62′D. GarcíaPenarol
- 75′M. SilveraPenarol
- 90′N. GonzálezProgreso (pen.)
Official lineup for Progreso vs Penarol
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Progreso
- 7A. Moreira
- 9N. González
- 6F. Silvera
- 8A. Colombino
- 11M. García
- 18G. Silva
- 29N. Fernández
- 4M. Martin
- 15L. Maldonado
- 17J. Poiso
- 33N. Suárez
Penarol
- 11M. Silvera
- 10L. Fernández
- 13E. Darias
- 14D. García
- 25J. Báez
- 80D. Terans
- 2Léo Coelho
- 15M. Olivera
- 22D. Suárez
- 23J. Méndez
- 29M. Campaña
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Penarol have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Penarol(home) | 1-5 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-2 | Super Copa |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Progreso(away) | 5-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Wanderers(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Progreso wins, 1 draw, 5 Penarol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | Progreso 1-5 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Progreso 0-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 23, 2024 | Penarol 3-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2021 | Progreso 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Progreso 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 0.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Penarol | 1.7 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 9th in Primera División (13 points from 10 matches) and Penarol sit 3rd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penarol | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Progreso vs Penarol?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy