Penarol vs Progreso: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2018 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Progreso?
Penarol won 1-0 on October 27, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 90′M. RodríguezPenarol
Official lineup for Penarol vs Progreso
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Penarol
- 11F. Estoyanoff
- 24D. Núñez
- 28Lucas Ezequiel Viatri
- 14G. Pereira
- 23W. Gargano
- 2F. Formiliano
- 4C. Rodríguez
- 15E. Busquets
- 20G. González
- 27L. Hernández
- 12K. Dawson
Progreso
- 9G. Colmán
- 11F. Millacet
- 30F. Labandeira
- 4Nicolás Andrés Freitas Silva
- 10I. Lemmo
- 27R. Viega
- 15E. Zeballos
- 18G. Castillo
- 25M. Loffreda
- 28D. Asconeguy
- 87Pablo Sebastián Fuentes Fraga
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Progreso have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Fenix(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Atletico Torque(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Danubio(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2018 | Boston River(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Wanderers(away) | 2-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 16, 2018 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Penarol wins, 0 draws, 0 Progreso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2018 | Progreso 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 11, 2013 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Progreso 1-3 Penarol | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Progreso | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Progreso sit 12th (39 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
A question about Penarol vs Progreso?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy