Progreso vs Penarol: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 14Kick-off on April 29, 2018 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-1 on April 29, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 13′F. MartínezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Penarol have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2018 | Boston River(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 8, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Wanderers(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 28, 2018 | CA River Plate(away) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2018 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2018 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Fenix(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 8, 2018 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Atletico Torque(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Danubio(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2013 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Progreso 1-3 Penarol | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 2.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Penarol | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy