Penarol vs Progreso: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 14Kick-off on October 6, 2020 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Progreso?
Penarol won 2-1 on October 6, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 56′F. FormilianoPenarol
- 69′G. GonzálezPenarol
- 84′G. AllesProgreso (pen.)
Official lineup for Penarol vs Progreso
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Penarol
- 10F. Torres
- 11F. Estoyanoff
- 15A. Álvarez
- 80D. Terans
- 21J. Trindade
- 23W. Gargano
- 2F. Formiliano
- 20G. González
- 24G. Kagelmacher
- 32J. Piquerez
- 12K. Dawson
Progreso
- 7F. Peraza
- 24G. Alles
- 26G. Jara
- 10J. Gottesman
- 20G. Andrada
- 21F. Fernández
- 4F. Platero
- 5L. Ferreira
- 25M. Loffreda
- 28D. Asconeguy
- 1N. Pérez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Progreso have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2020 | Colo Colo(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 25, 2020 | Jorge Wilstermann(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 15, 2020 | Colo Colo(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Atletico Torque(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2020 | Wanderers(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 9, 2020 | Rentistas(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2020 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 30, 2020 | Boston River(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Penarol wins, 3 draws, 0 Progreso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | Progreso 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 20, 2019 | Progreso 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 26, 2019 | Penarol 2-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Progreso 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 11, 2013 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Progreso | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 3rd in Primera División (20 points from 10 matches) and Progreso sit 9th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penarol | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Penarol vs Progreso?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy