Penarol vs Progreso: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 12Kick-off on May 11, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Progreso?
Penarol won 1-0 on May 11, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 80′Juan Manuel Olivera LópezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Progreso have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2013 | Club Nacional(away) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 28, 2013 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 14, 2013 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 6, 2013 | Cerro Largo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2013 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 27, 2013 | Central Espanol(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 14, 2013 | Wanderers(away) | 0-4 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 7, 2013 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Penarol win, 0 draws, 0 Progreso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2012 | Progreso 1-3 Penarol | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.9 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.7 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Progreso | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Progreso sit 12th (39 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy