Progreso vs Penarol: result 1-3 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 17, 2012 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Penarol?
Penarol won 1-3 on November 17, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 30′F. EstoyanoffPenarol
- 54′Néstor Fabián Canobbio BentaberryProgreso
- 72′M. ZalayetaPenarol
- 80′F. EstoyanoffPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Penarol have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Central Espanol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 13, 2012 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2012 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 5-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Cerro Largo(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 2.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.2 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Penarol | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy