Penarol vs Racing Montevideo: result 4-2 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 5Kick-off on March 23, 2012 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Racing Montevideo?
Penarol won 4-2 on March 23, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 20′D. AcostaRacing Montevideo
- 29′M. ZalayetaPenarol
- 49′Nicolás Andrés Freitas SilvaPenarol
- 70′L. AguiarPenarol
- 75′R. PastoriniRacing Montevideo
- 76′R. MoraPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Racing Montevideo have 1, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2012 | Cerro Largo(home) | 4-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 29, 2012 | Bella Vista(home) | 4-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 25, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2012 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 3-4 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 26, 2012 | Cerrito(home) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 19, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 3.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 3; Racing Montevideo score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| Racing Montevideo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Racing Montevideo sit 7th (53 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 7 | Racing Montevideo | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 53 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy