Club Nacional vs Danubio: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2012 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
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What was the result of Club Nacional vs Danubio?
Club Nacional won 3-1 on March 24, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 25′Diego Andrés Martiñones RusDanubio
- 51′R. PortaClub Nacional (pen.)
- 60′M. VecinoClub Nacional
- 67′T. ViudezClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Danubio have 1, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 4, 2012 | Cerro(home) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 26, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 19, 2012 | CA River Plate(home) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 26, 2012 | Rentistas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Danubio score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Danubio | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0 | 4/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 1st in Primera División - Clausura (79 points from 37 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (43 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 37 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 76 | 33 | 79 |
| 11 | Danubio | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy