Penrhyncoch vs Caersws: result 1-3 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 14Kick-off on February 4, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Cae Baker, Penrhyncoch, Ceredigion
Full time
What was the result of Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?
Caersws won 1-3 on February 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′638717Penrhyncoch
- 13′644753Caersws
- 68′628591Caersws
- 90′603470Caersws
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penrhyncoch have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Caersws have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Ruthin Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Guilsfield(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Ruthin Town(home) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Penrhyncoch wins, 1 draw, 0 Caersws wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Caersws 1-2 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Penrhyncoch 4-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Penrhyncoch 1-1 Caersws | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Caersws vs Penrhyncoch on Mar 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Penrhyncoch score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caersws score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrhyncoch | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Caersws | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penrhyncoch sit 16th in FAW Championship (1 point from 11 matches) and Caersws sit 6th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
A question about Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy