Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog: result 1-3 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 1Kick-off on August 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Cae Baker, Penrhyncoch, Ceredigion
Full time
What was the result of Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog?
Porthmadog won 1-3 on August 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 37′?Porthmadog
- 43′?Penrhyncoch
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Penrhyncoch win at 40%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penrhyncoch have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Porthmadog have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Holywell(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Rhyl(home) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Port Talbot Town(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Buckley Town(home) | 0-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Denbigh Town(home) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Penrhyncoch wins, 1 draw, 2 Porthmadog wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | Porthmadog 2-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Penrhyncoch 0-3 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Oct 15, 2019 | Porthmadog 0-0 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch on Mar 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Penrhyncoch score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Porthmadog score 1.2 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrhyncoch | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Porthmadog | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penrhyncoch sit 16th in FAW Championship (1 point from 11 matches) and Porthmadog sit 3rd (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 23 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
A question about Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy