Penya Encarnada vs Casa de Portugal: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, Santa Coloma
The Footlab model makes Penya Encarnada the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Casa de Portugal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penya Encarnada vs Casa de Portugal?
Penya Encarnada starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,452 vs 1,260).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penya Encarnada have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Casa de Portugal have 0, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | Ranger's(home) | 1-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 18, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 1-4 | Copa Constitució |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Carroi(away) | 0-0 | Copa Constitució |
How many goals should we expect?
Penya Encarnada score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Casa de Portugal score 0.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penya Encarnada | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Casa de Portugal | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Penya Encarnada | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penya Encarnada vs Casa de Portugal?
- The Footlab model makes Penya Encarnada the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Casa de Portugal.
- Where and when is Penya Encarnada vs Casa de Portugal played?
- Penya Encarnada vs Casa de Portugal is played on April 18, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.