Penybont vs Cambrian & Clydach: result 5-3 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipDivision 1 - Round 7Kick-off on September 28, 2018 at 05:30 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
Full time
What was the result of Penybont vs Cambrian & Clydach?
Penybont won 5-3 on September 28, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Cambrian & Clydach have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2018 | Afan Lido(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Ton Pentre(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Goytre AFC(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2018 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Goytre AFC(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Afan Lido(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 17, 2018 | Ton Pentre(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cambrian & Clydach score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 2.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Cambrian & Clydach | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy