Penybont vs Holywell: result 2-1 and analysis
Welsh CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on February 5, 2023 at 12:45 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
Full time
What was the result of Penybont vs Holywell?
Penybont won 2-1 on February 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 14′D. AndrewsHolywell
- 57′L. HarlingPenybont
- 90′N. WoodPenybont (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Holywell have 14, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | Newtown AFC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2023 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | Llanidloes Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Porthmadog(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 7, 2022 | Ruthin Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Holywell score 2.7 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Holywell | 2.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy