Penybont vs Port Talbot Town: result 1-0 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipDivision 1 - Round 28Kick-off on March 2, 2019 at 01:30 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
Full time
What was the result of Penybont vs Port Talbot Town?
Penybont won 1-0 on March 2, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Port Talbot Town have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2019 | Goytre United(home) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Undy Athletic(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 12, 2019 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Goytre AFC(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Afan Lido(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Goytre AFC(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Ton Pentre(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Briton Ferry(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 2.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Port Talbot Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 2.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Port Talbot Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy