Penydarren BGC vs Trethomas Bluebirds: result 1-0 and analysis
Welsh Cup3rd RoundKick-off on November 11, 2022 at 07:30 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Penydarren BGC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Penydarren BGC won 1-0 on November 11, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 49′400069Penydarren BGC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Penydarren BGC have 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Trethomas Bluebirds have 2, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | Swansea University(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 16, 2022 | Ynyshir Albions(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 0-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 4, 2018 | Bangor City(away) | 0-7 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Ton Pentre(home) | 6-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Cardiff Airport(away) | 2-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 30, 2016 | llanelli AFC(home) | 0-6 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Penydarren BGC score 2.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 9; Trethomas Bluebirds score 2.2 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penydarren BGC | 2.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 3/9 | 8/9 |
| Trethomas Bluebirds | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1 | 3/5 | 5/5 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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