Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, Ystrad Mynach, Caerphilly
The Footlab AI model makes Trethomas Bluebirds the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 27% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,905 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
On Elo ratings, Trethomas Bluebirds has 1,590 points and Llantwit Major 1,550.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trethomas Bluebirds
Not enough data to predict the Trethomas Bluebirds lineup.
Llantwit Major
Not enough data to predict the Llantwit Major lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trethomas Bluebirds have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Llantwit Major have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Trethomas Bluebirds win, 2 draws, 1 Llantwit Major win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds 2-2 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Llantwit Major 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Llantwit Major 0-1 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 1.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trethomas Bluebirds | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Llantwit Major | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trethomas Bluebirds sit 8th in FAW Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 13 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trethomas Bluebirds the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 27% for Llantwit Major.
- Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major played?
- Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.