Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo, Surabaya
The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Dewa United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Persebaya Surabaya (1,850) and Dewa United (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persebaya Surabaya have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Dewa United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 1-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Persija(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persis Solo(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 5-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Semen Padang(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Persebaya Surabaya win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Dewa United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Dewa United 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Dewa United 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Persebaya Surabaya 0-0 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Persebaya Surabaya 0-3 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Dewa United 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Persebaya Surabaya score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dewa United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persebaya Surabaya | 2.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Dewa United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th in Liga 1 (58 points from 34 matches) and Dewa United sit 7th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 35 | 58 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 37 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United?
- The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Dewa United.
- Where and when is Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United played?
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United is played on December 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.