Persepam Madura Utd vs Dewa United: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 27Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan
The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Persepam Madura Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs Dewa United?
Dewa United starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persepam Madura Utd have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Dewa United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSM Makassar(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persis Solo(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 5-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Semen Padang(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Persepam Madura Utd win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dewa United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd 1-2 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Dewa United 0-2 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Persepam Madura Utd 3-1 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Dewa United 3-3 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Dewa United 2-2 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Persepam Madura Utd 1-4 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persepam Madura Utd vs Dewa United on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Persepam Madura Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dewa United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persepam Madura Utd | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Dewa United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persepam Madura Utd sit 14th in Liga 1 (35 points from 34 matches) and Dewa United sit 7th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 37 | 53 |
| 14 | Persepam Madura Utd | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 54 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persepam Madura Utd vs Dewa United?
- The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Persepam Madura Utd.
- Where and when is Persepam Madura Utd vs Dewa United played?
- Persepam Madura Utd vs Dewa United is played on April 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.