Bhayangkara FC vs Arema FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 27Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Wibawa Mukti, Cikarang
The Footlab model makes Bhayangkara FC the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bhayangkara FC vs Arema FC?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Bhayangkara FC (1,758) and Arema FC (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bhayangkara FC have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(home) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 1-4 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | PSM Makassar(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 2-4 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bhayangkara FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Arema FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC 2-1 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Arema FC 2-1 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Arema FC 0-0 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Bhayangkara FC 0-2 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Arema FC 0-3 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Bhayangkara FC 1-0 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bhayangkara FC vs Arema FC on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bhayangkara FC score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayangkara FC | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bhayangkara FC sit 5th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 53 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bhayangkara FC vs Arema FC?
- The Footlab model makes Bhayangkara FC the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Arema FC.
- Where and when is Bhayangkara FC vs Arema FC played?
- Bhayangkara FC vs Arema FC is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Wibawa Mukti, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 23, 2027Malut UnitedvsPersik Kediri
- Apr 23, 2027PSM MakassarvsAdhyaksa
- Apr 23, 2027Persepam Madura UtdvsDewa United
- Apr 24, 2027PSS SlemanvsGarudayaksa
- Apr 24, 2027Persib BandungvsPersija
- Apr 24, 2027Persebaya SurabayavsPusamania Borneo
- Apr 25, 2027PersitavsPersijap
- Apr 25, 2027PSIM YogyakartavsBali United