Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 23Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Brawijaya, Kediri
The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Persik Kediri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persebaya Surabaya starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persik Kediri have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Persebaya Surabaya have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-5 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persija(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 3-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 1-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Persija(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Persik Kediri win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Persebaya Surabaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya 5-0 Persik Kediri | Liga 1 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Persik Kediri 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2025 | Persik Kediri 3-3 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Persebaya Surabaya 4-1 Persik Kediri | Liga 1 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 Persik Kediri | Liga 1 |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Persik Kediri 4-0 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Persik Kediri score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Persebaya Surabaya score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persik Kediri | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Persebaya Surabaya | 2.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persik Kediri sit 12th in Liga 1 (39 points from 34 matches) and Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 35 | 58 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 61 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya?
- The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Persik Kediri.
- Where and when is Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya played?
- Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya is played on March 19, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Brawijaya, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.