Match

Persita vs Arema FC: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno, Jakarta

PersitaArema FC

The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Persita. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Persita vs Arema FC?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Persita (1,676) and Arema FC (1,747).

Persita win36 %
Draw27 %
Arema FC win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persita have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Persita
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Persis Solo(home)1-3Liga 1
May 16, 2026Malut United(away)1-1Liga 1
May 10, 2026Persijap(home)0-3Liga 1
May 5, 2026Pusamania Borneo(away)0-2Liga 1
Apr 30, 2026PSIM Yogyakarta(away)1-0Liga 1
Arema FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija(away)1-3Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026DPMM FC Brunei(home)2-0Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Piala Presiden

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Persita win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Arema FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Persita 0-1 Arema FCLiga 1
Dec 30, 2025Arema FC 0-1 PersitaLiga 1
Apr 20, 2025Persita 3-2 Arema FCLiga 1
Dec 3, 2024Arema FC 3-0 PersitaLiga 1
Mar 13, 2024Persita 4-3 Arema FCLiga 1
Sep 16, 2023Arema FC 0-0 PersitaLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Persita vs Arema FC on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Persita score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Persita0.91.315/155/15
Arema FC1.51.357/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Persita sit 10th in Liga 1 (45 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Arema FC3413912534748
10Persita3413615383745

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Persita vs Arema FC?
The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Persita.
Where and when is Persita vs Arema FC played?
Persita vs Arema FC is played on March 20, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Persita and Arema FC

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