Peru vs Ecuador: result 0-1 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on September 6, 2019 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Monumental, Lima
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What was the result of Peru vs Ecuador?
Ecuador won 0-1 on September 6, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 47′E. CastilloEcuador
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peru have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ecuador have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2019 | Brazil(away) | 1-3 | Copa America |
| Jul 4, 2019 | Chile(away) | 3-0 | Copa America |
| Jun 29, 2019 | Uruguay(away) | 0-0 | Copa America |
| Jun 22, 2019 | Brazil(home) | 0-5 | Copa America |
| Jun 18, 2019 | Bolivia(away) | 3-1 | Copa America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2019 | Japan(home) | 1-1 | Copa America |
| Jun 21, 2019 | Chile(home) | 1-2 | Copa America |
| Jun 16, 2019 | Uruguay(away) | 0-4 | Copa America |
| Jun 9, 2019 | Mexico(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2019 | Venezuela(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Peru win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ecuador win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2018 | Peru 0-2 Ecuador | Friendlies |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Ecuador 1-2 Peru | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 7, 2016 | Peru 2-1 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 9, 2016 | Ecuador 2-2 Peru | Copa America |
How many goals should we expect?
Peru score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peru | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Ecuador | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy