USA vs Ecuador: result 1-0 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on March 22, 2019 at 12:00 AM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
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What was the result of USA vs Ecuador?
USA won 1-0 on March 22, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 81′G. ZardesUSA
Official lineup for USA vs Ecuador
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
USA
- 7P. Arriola
- 9G. Zardes
- 6W. Trapp
- 8W. McKennie
- 10C. Pulišić
- 11J. Morris
- 14T. Adams
- 5J. Brooks
- 13T. Ream
- 23A. Long
- 1S. Johnson
Ecuador
- 5Alex Renato Ibarra Mina
- 7R. Ibarra
- 8C. Gruezo
- 16A. Valencia
- 18Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
- 20J. Méndez
- 3R. Arboleda
- 4J. Paredes
- 13B. Caicedo
- 21G. Achilier
- 22Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USA have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ecuador have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | Costa Rica(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 28, 2019 | Panama(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2018 | Italy(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2018 | England(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 17, 2018 | Peru(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2018 | Panama(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2018 | Peru(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 16, 2018 | Oman(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2018 | Qatar(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 12, 2018 | Guatemala(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 USA win, 0 draws, 0 Ecuador wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2016 | USA 2-1 Ecuador | Copa America |
How many goals should we expect?
USA score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Ecuador | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy