Perugia vs Ostia Mare: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 1Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
Full time
What was the result of Perugia vs Ostia Mare?
Perugia won 1-0 on August 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 55′L. CanottoPerugia
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Perugia win at 54%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Perugia vs Ostia Mare
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Perugia
- 9A. Sabbatani
- 10L. Canotto
- 8R. Ladinetti
- 23L. Mėgelaitis
- 31G. Conti
- 77E. Kabashi
- 4A. Tozzuolo
- 14E. Quirini
- 28D. Riccardi
- 39G. Cavallini
- 1R. Żelezny
Ostia Mare
- 9R. Tonin
- 17F. D'Andrea
- 77F. Tosku
- 6B. Davide
- 23M. Spinosa
- 30G. Donsah
- 4D. Piroli
- 13R. Brosco
- 24E. Tesauro
- 66Antonio Castaldo
- 1F. Vertua
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perugia have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Ostia Mare have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Forli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Juventus U23(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 10, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ostia Mare score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perugia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Ostia Mare | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perugia sit 8th in Serie C - Girone B (13 points from 9 matches) and Ostia Mare sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Perugia | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 13 |
| 14 | Ostia Mare | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Perugia vs Ostia Mare?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy