Reggiana vs Ostia Mare: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
The Footlab model makes Ostia Mare the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Reggiana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Reggiana vs Ostia Mare?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Reggiana (1,743) and Ostia Mare (1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reggiana have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ostia Mare have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 8, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Reggiana score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ostia Mare score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggiana | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ostia Mare | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Reggiana sit 12th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Ostia Mare sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ostia Mare | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Reggiana vs Ostia Mare?
- The Footlab model makes Ostia Mare the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Reggiana.
- Where and when is Reggiana vs Ostia Mare played?
- Reggiana vs Ostia Mare is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.