Sambenedettese vs Perugia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
The Footlab AI model makes Perugia the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Sambenedettese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Perugia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sambenedettese vs Perugia?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Sambenedettese (1,767) and Perugia (1,758).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sambenedettese vs Perugia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sambenedettese
3-5-2- 9L. Sgarbi
- 93S. Magnaghi
- 6M. Piccoli
- 30S. Nicoli
- 37M. Toure
- 18K. Candellori
- 14E. Plicco
- 17L. Pezzola
- 5M. Chelli
- 4A. Zini
- 12T. Krapikas
Perugia
4-3-3- 9A. Sabbatani
- 90E. Vergani
- 10L. Canotto
- 8R. Ladinetti
- 33C. Langella
- 30P. van Amersfoort
- 4A. Tozzuolo
- 28D. Riccardi
- 11M. Borsoi
- 5F. Brekalo
- 1R. Żelezny
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sambenedettese have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Perugia have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Latina(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Pianese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vado(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reggiana(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sambenedettese win, 2 draws, 1 Perugia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Sambenedettese 0-1 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Perugia 1-2 Sambenedettese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 2, 2021 | Perugia 1-1 Sambenedettese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Sambenedettese 1-1 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Sambenedettese vs Perugia on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sambenedettese score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sambenedettese | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Perugia | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sambenedettese sit 19th in Serie C - Girone B (6 points from 9 matches) and Perugia sit 8th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Perugia | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 13 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Sambenedettese vs Perugia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sambenedettese vs Perugia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Perugia the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Sambenedettese.
- Where and when is Sambenedettese vs Perugia played?
- Sambenedettese vs Perugia is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Riviera delle Palme, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.