Pescara vs Spezia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia, Pescara
The Footlab model makes Spezia the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Pescara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pescara vs Spezia?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Pescara (1,798) and Spezia (1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pescara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Spezia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 8, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Torres(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pescara win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Spezia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Pescara 1-1 Spezia | Serie B |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Spezia 2-1 Pescara | Serie B |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Spezia 2-0 Pescara | Serie B |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Pescara 1-2 Spezia | Serie B |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Pescara 2-0 Spezia | Serie B |
| Oct 19, 2018 | Spezia 1-3 Pescara | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pescara score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pescara | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Spezia | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pescara sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone B (3 points from 1 matches) and Spezia sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pescara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pescara vs Spezia?
- The Footlab model makes Spezia the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Pescara.
- Where and when is Pescara vs Spezia played?
- Pescara vs Spezia is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.