Ravenna vs Gubbio: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Bruno Benelli, Ravenna
The Footlab model makes Ravenna the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Gubbio. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ravenna vs Gubbio?
Ravenna starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ravenna have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gubbio have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 3-5 | Coppa Italia |
| May 20, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 13, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ravenna win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gubbio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Gubbio 0-2 Ravenna | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Ravenna 1-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Gubbio 3-1 Ravenna | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Ravenna 1-2 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Ravenna 3-3 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Ravenna 0-2 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ravenna score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gubbio score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravenna | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Gubbio | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Gubbio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ravenna vs Gubbio?
- The Footlab model makes Ravenna the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Gubbio.
- Where and when is Ravenna vs Gubbio played?
- Ravenna vs Gubbio is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Bruno Benelli, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.