Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Balmoor Stadium, Peterhead
The Footlab model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Peterhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Peterhead (1,612) and Alloa Athletic (1,662).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterhead have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Alloa Athletic have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 5-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Peterhead win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Alloa Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 1-2 Peterhead | League One |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Peterhead 3-1 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 4-0 Peterhead | League One |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Peterhead 2-1 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Peterhead 0-2 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Alloa Athletic 1-0 Peterhead | League One |
Last archived meeting: Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Peterhead score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alloa Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterhead | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Alloa Athletic | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peterhead sit 5th in League One (6 points from 4 matches) and Alloa Athletic sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alloa Athletic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Peterhead.
- Where and when is Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic played?
- Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Balmoor Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.