Match

Hamilton Academical vs Montrose: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ZLX Stadium, Hamilton

Hamilton AcademicalMontrose

The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Montrose. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Montrose?

Hamilton Academical starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,700 vs 1,561).

60%24%16%
Hamilton Academical winDrawMontrose win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hamilton Academical vs Montrose

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hamilton Academical

4-3-3
  1. 27S. McKinstry
  2. 29A. Ryan
  3. 7D. Thomas
  1. 6C. Blues
  2. 17S. Bannigan
  3. 8K. MacDonald
  1. 33S. Hendrie
  2. 2A. Comrie
  3. 3T. Gallacher
  4. 5F. Owens
  1. 1D. Lyness

Montrose

4-4-1-1
  1. 16J. Sutherland
  1. 19G. Oliver
  2. 8J. Barjonas
  3. 12K. Freeman
  4. 6S. Byrne
  5. 11B. Lyons
  1. 5S. McGinty
  2. 4A. Quinn
  3. 3F. Duffy
  4. 2R. Williamson
  1. 1C. Gill

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 04:13 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamilton Academical have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Montrose have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamilton Academical
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026East Fife(home)2-1League One
Oct 17, 2026Airdrie United(away)2-1League One
Oct 13, 2026Gala Fairydean Rovers(away)2-0Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Alloa Athletic(away)3-0League One
Oct 3, 2026Peterhead(home)2-1League One
Montrose
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Peterhead(home)3-0League One
Oct 17, 2026East Kilbride(away)1-1League One
Oct 13, 2026Dundee United II(home)2-1Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Ross County(home)0-5League One
Oct 3, 2026Airdrie United(away)0-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Hamilton Academical wins, 1 draw, 0 Montrose wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Montrose 0-5 Hamilton AcademicalLeague One
Apr 18, 2026Montrose 0-2 Hamilton AcademicalLeague One
Feb 28, 2026Hamilton Academical 1-1 MontroseLeague One
Oct 18, 2025Montrose 0-4 Hamilton AcademicalLeague One
Aug 2, 2025Hamilton Academical 2-0 MontroseLeague One
Apr 20, 2024Montrose 1-2 Hamilton AcademicalLeague One

Last archived meeting: Montrose vs Hamilton Academical on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamilton Academical score 2.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Montrose score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hamilton Academical2.00.595/159/15
Montrose1.81.448/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamilton Academical sit 2nd in League One (31 points from 11 matches) and Montrose sit 3rd (19 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Hamilton Academical11101025431
3Montrose12615172019

A question about Hamilton Academical vs Montrose?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamilton Academical vs Montrose?
The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Montrose.
Where and when is Hamilton Academical vs Montrose played?
Hamilton Academical vs Montrose is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ZLX Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hamilton Academical and Montrose

Ready to know everything about football?