Petro de Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio 11 de Novembro, Luanda
The Footlab model makes Petro de Luanda the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Sagrada Esperança. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petro de Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança?
Petro de Luanda is a heavy favourite: 1,972 Elo points against 1,659, a 313-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petro de Luanda have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Sagrada Esperança have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wiliete(home) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Guelson FC(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Petro de Luanda win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sagrada Esperança win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Petro de Luanda 4-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Sagrada Esperança 0-3 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
| May 18, 2025 | Sagrada Esperança 0-1 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Petro de Luanda 2-0 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Petro de Luanda 0-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Sagrada Esperança 0-0 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Petro de Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Petro de Luanda score 1.7 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sagrada Esperança score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petro de Luanda | 1.7 | 0.3 | 12 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Sagrada Esperança | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Petro de Luanda sit 8th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Sagrada Esperança sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Petro de Luanda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Sagrada Esperança | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petro de Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança?
- The Footlab model makes Petro de Luanda the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Sagrada Esperança.
- Where and when is Petro de Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança played?
- Petro de Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio 11 de Novembro, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.