Recreativo da Caála vs Petro de Luanda: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mártires da Canhala, Caála
The Footlab model makes Petro de Luanda the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Recreativo da Caála. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo da Caála vs Petro de Luanda?
Petro de Luanda is a heavy favourite: 1,972 Elo points against 1,657, a 315-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo da Caála have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Petro de Luanda have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 29, 2022 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 1-2 | Girabola |
| May 1, 2022 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wiliete(home) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Recreativo da Caála win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Petro de Luanda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Recreativo da Caála 0-1 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Petro de Luanda 2-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| May 30, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 0-1 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Petro de Luanda 0-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Petro de Luanda 3-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Recreativo da Caála 1-1 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo da Caála vs Petro de Luanda on Jan 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo da Caála score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Petro de Luanda score 1.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo da Caála | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Petro de Luanda | 1.7 | 0.3 | 12 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recreativo da Caála sit 9th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Petro de Luanda sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Petro de Luanda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Recreativo da Caála | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo da Caála vs Petro de Luanda?
- The Footlab model makes Petro de Luanda the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Recreativo da Caála.
- Where and when is Recreativo da Caála vs Petro de Luanda played?
- Recreativo da Caála vs Petro de Luanda is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mártires da Canhala, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.