Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ilie Oană, Ploieşti
The Footlab model makes Petrolul Ploiesti the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Petrolul Ploiesti (1,681) and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (1,766).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petrolul Ploiesti have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 0-4 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Csikszereda(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FCSB(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Petrolul Ploiesti win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2-2 Petrolul Ploiesti | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 2-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Petrolul Ploiesti 2-2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Petrolul Ploiesti on Oct 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Petrolul Ploiesti sit 10th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
- The Footlab model makes Petrolul Ploiesti the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
- Where and when is Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe played?
- Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ilie Oană, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.