Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complex Sportiv Craiova, Craiova
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Farul Constanta. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta?
Universitatea Craiova starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,913 vs 1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitatea Craiova have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Farul Constanta have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | FCSB(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Universitatea Craiova win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Farul Constanta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Farul Constanta 4-1 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 2-0 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 1-0 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Farul Constanta 3-2 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| May 13, 2024 | Farul Constanta 3-3 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Universitatea Craiova 1-2 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Craiova on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitatea Craiova score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Farul Constanta score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Craiova | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Farul Constanta | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universitatea Craiova sit 5th in Liga I (10 points from 6 matches) and Farul Constanta sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Farul Constanta.
- Where and when is Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta played?
- Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Sportiv Craiova, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.