Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ilie Oană, Ploieşti
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Petrolul Ploiesti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
Universitatea Craiova starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,681).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petrolul Ploiesti have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Universitatea Craiova have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 0-4 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Petrolul Ploiesti win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Universitatea Craiova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova 4-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-4 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-4 Universitatea Craiova | Cupa României |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 2-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-1 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-2 Universitatea Craiova | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Universitatea Craiova score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Universitatea Craiova | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Petrolul Ploiesti sit 10th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Universitatea Craiova sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Petrolul Ploiesti.
- Where and when is Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova played?
- Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ilie Oană, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.