Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Oţelul, Galaţi
The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Petrolul Ploiesti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Oţelul (1,702) and Petrolul Ploiesti (1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oţelul have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Petrolul Ploiesti have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 0-4 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oţelul win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Petrolul Ploiesti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
| May 18, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-5 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Oţelul 0-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| May 12, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-3 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Oţelul 0-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oţelul sit 9th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Petrolul Ploiesti sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oţelul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
- The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Petrolul Ploiesti.
- Where and when is Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti played?
- Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Oţelul, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.