Match

Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti: prediction and stats

Liga IRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Oţelul, Galaţi

OţelulPetrolul Ploiesti

The Footlab AI model makes Oţelul the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Petrolul Ploiesti. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oţelul wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Oţelul (1,790) and Petrolul Ploiesti (1,850).

43%26%31%
Oţelul winDrawPetrolul Ploiesti win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Oţelul

3-4-3
  1. 27Pedro Nuno
  2. 9Patrick
  3. 24D. Bordun
  1. 28Miguel Silva
  2. 8Rafael Brito
  3. 17A. Ciobanu
  4. 39T. Lungu
  1. 6P. Iacob
  2. 3G. Christopoulos
  3. 44D. Zator
  1. 1C. Dur-Bozoancă

Petrolul Ploiesti

4-2-3-1
  1. 9D. Nlundulu
  1. 20S. Hanca
  2. 7Rodrigo Martins
  3. 19Léo Teixeira
  4. 8L. Vega
  5. 80M. Ioniță
  1. 71B. Malula
  2. 2A. Dumitrescu
  3. 4P. Papp
  4. 66T. Căpușă
  1. 38L. Zima

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:39 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oţelul have 1 win, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Petrolul Ploiesti have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oţelul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(home)1-1Liga I
Oct 25, 2026Farul Constanta(away)3-4Liga I
Oct 16, 2026Csikszereda(home)1-1Liga I
Oct 10, 2026FCSB(away)0-1Liga I
Oct 3, 2026FC Bacau(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Petrolul Ploiesti
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Uta Arad(away)1-0Liga I
Oct 31, 2026CFR 1907 Cluj(home)1-1Liga I
Oct 27, 2026Progresul Spartac(away)6-0Cupa României
Oct 23, 2026FC Botosani(away)3-1Liga I
Oct 17, 2026Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(home)1-1Liga I

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oţelul wins, 3 draws, 1 Petrolul Ploiesti win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Petrolul Ploiesti 1-0 OţelulLiga I
May 18, 2026Petrolul Ploiesti 1-5 OţelulLiga I
Nov 8, 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 0-0 OţelulLiga I
Jul 13, 2025Oţelul 0-0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
May 12, 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 1-3 OţelulLiga I
Jan 18, 2025Oţelul 0-0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I

Last archived meeting: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oţelul score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oţelul1.11.8110/156/15
Petrolul Ploiesti1.91.248/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oţelul sit 14th in Liga I (12 points from 14 matches) and Petrolul Ploiesti sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Petrolul Ploiesti15834201827
14Oţelul14266162212

A question about Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
The Footlab AI model makes Oţelul the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Petrolul Ploiesti.
Where and when is Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti played?
Oţelul vs Petrolul Ploiesti is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Oţelul, in the Liga I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Oţelul and Petrolul Ploiesti

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