Petrolul Ploiesti vs Uta Arad: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ilie Oană, Ploieşti
The Footlab model makes Petrolul Ploiesti the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Uta Arad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petrolul Ploiesti vs Uta Arad?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Petrolul Ploiesti (1,680) and Uta Arad (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petrolul Ploiesti have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Uta Arad have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 0-4 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(away) | 1-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Petrolul Ploiesti win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Uta Arad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-1 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Uta Arad 1-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Uta Arad 1-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Cupa României |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-2 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| May 5, 2025 | Uta Arad 2-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-1 Uta Arad | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Uta Arad on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Uta Arad score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Uta Arad | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Petrolul Ploiesti sit 10th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Uta Arad sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
| 15 | Uta Arad | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Uta Arad?
- The Footlab model makes Petrolul Ploiesti the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Uta Arad.
- Where and when is Petrolul Ploiesti vs Uta Arad played?
- Petrolul Ploiesti vs Uta Arad is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ilie Oană, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.