Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, Arad
The Footlab model makes Uta Arad the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Petrolul Ploiesti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Uta Arad (1,711) and Petrolul Ploiesti (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uta Arad have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Petrolul Ploiesti have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(away) | 1-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 0-4 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Uta Arad win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Petrolul Ploiesti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-1 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Uta Arad 1-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Uta Arad 1-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Cupa României |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-2 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| May 5, 2025 | Uta Arad 2-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-1 Uta Arad | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Uta Arad on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uta Arad score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uta Arad | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uta Arad sit 15th in Liga I (3 points from 6 matches) and Petrolul Ploiesti sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
| 15 | Uta Arad | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
- The Footlab model makes Uta Arad the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Petrolul Ploiesti.
- Where and when is Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti played?
- Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.