Pfaffenhofen vs Erlbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 17Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Erlbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pfaffenhofen vs Erlbach?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Pfaffenhofen (1,778) and Erlbach (1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pfaffenhofen have 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Erlbach have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1860 München II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Pfaffenhofen score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 6; Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pfaffenhofen | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 3/6 | 4/6 |
| Erlbach | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pfaffenhofen vs Erlbach?
- The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Erlbach.
- Where and when is Pfaffenhofen vs Erlbach played?
- Pfaffenhofen vs Erlbach is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 20261860 München IIvsHeimstetten
- Oct 31, 2026Schalding-HeiningvsIsmaning
- Oct 31, 2026Deisenhofenvs1880 Wasserburg
- Oct 31, 2026PipinsriedvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Oct 31, 2026Schwabmünchenvs1860 Rosenheim
- Oct 31, 2026TuS GeretsriedvsKottern
- Oct 31, 2026LandshutvsGundelfingen
- Oct 31, 2026Hankofen-HailingvsKirchanschöring