Pipinsried vs Sportfreunde Schwaig: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 17Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Reichertshausener Straße, Pipinsried
The Footlab model makes Pipinsried the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Sportfreunde Schwaig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pipinsried vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Pipinsried (1,824) and Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pipinsried have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Landshut(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pipinsried win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig 2-1 Pipinsried | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Pipinsried 2-0 Sportfreunde Schwaig | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Pipinsried on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pipinsried score 2.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pipinsried | 2.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pipinsried sit 6th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (52 points from 32 matches) and Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th (46 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pipinsried | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 37 | 52 |
| 9 | Sportfreunde Schwaig | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pipinsried vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
- The Footlab model makes Pipinsried the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Sportfreunde Schwaig.
- Where and when is Pipinsried vs Sportfreunde Schwaig played?
- Pipinsried vs Sportfreunde Schwaig is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Reichertshausener Straße, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 20261860 München IIvsHeimstetten
- Oct 31, 2026Schalding-HeiningvsIsmaning
- Oct 31, 2026Deisenhofenvs1880 Wasserburg
- Oct 31, 2026Schwabmünchenvs1860 Rosenheim
- Oct 31, 2026PfaffenhofenvsErlbach
- Oct 31, 2026TuS GeretsriedvsKottern
- Oct 31, 2026LandshutvsGundelfingen
- Oct 31, 2026Hankofen-HailingvsKirchanschöring