Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Haras El Hodoud Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab model makes Pharco the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Pharco (1,709) and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pharco have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Proxy(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 28, 2026 | Ismaily SC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Mansura(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | El Mansura(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | El Dakhleya(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pharco win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2024 | Pharco 1-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 3-2 Pharco | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla on May 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pharco score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Baladiyyat Al Mehalla score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharco | 0.5 | 0.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pharco sit 7th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pharco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
- The Footlab model makes Pharco the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.
- Where and when is Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla played?
- Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla is played on September 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Haras El Hodoud Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.