Phnom Penh Crown vs National Defense: prediction and stats
C-LeagueMatchday 16Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)RSN Stadium, Phnom Penh
The Footlab AI model makes Phnom Penh Crown the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for National Defense. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,082 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phnom Penh Crown vs National Defense?
Phnom Penh Crown is a heavy favourite: 1,757 Elo points against 1,330, a 427-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Phnom Penh Crown vs National Defense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Phnom Penh Crown
5-4-1- 28Daniel Bareš
- 23Bong Samuel
- 14V. Gryshyn
- 44P. Pov
- 8Orn Chanpolin
- 4R. Ketting
- 5R. Feher
- 15Choun Chanchav
- 32E. Ratana
- 40A. Zogbe
- 22Oum Vicheth
National Defense
4-3-3- 10M. Bakayoko
- 24A. Mustapha
- 23S. Sreng
- 88U. Samura
- 50S. Kataoka
- 14S. Murata
- 3P. Vorn
- 11S. Nat
- 15V. Suk
- 4R. Buth
- 1L. Mat
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phnom Penh Crown have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; National Defense have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 1-2 | C-League |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Kitchee(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Kompong Dewa(home) | 0-1 | C-League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | National Defense(away) | 2-1 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Life Sihanoukville(home) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 1-2 | C-League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Angkor Tiger(away) | 0-6 | C-League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | NagaWorld(home) | 4-5 | C-League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Phnom Penh Crown wins, 1 draw, 0 National Defense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | National Defense 1-2 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Phnom Penh Crown 3-2 National Defense | C-League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | National Defense 1-1 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Phnom Penh Crown 3-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | National Defense 1-2 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Phnom Penh Crown 2-1 National Defense | C-League |
Last archived meeting: National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phnom Penh Crown score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; National Defense score 0.8 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phnom Penh Crown | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| National Defense | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phnom Penh Crown sit 8th in C-League (6 points from 5 matches) and National Defense sit 11th (0 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Phnom Penh Crown | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | National Defense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
A question about Phnom Penh Crown vs National Defense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phnom Penh Crown vs National Defense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Phnom Penh Crown the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for National Defense.
- Where and when is Phnom Penh Crown vs National Defense played?
- Phnom Penh Crown vs National Defense is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at RSN Stadium, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.