National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Army Stadium, Phnom Penh
The Footlab model makes Phnom Penh Crown the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for National Defense. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Phnom Penh Crown is a heavy favourite: 1,771 Elo points against 1,366 — a 405-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, National Defense have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Phnom Penh Crown have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey(away) | 0-6 | C-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Visakha(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Life Sihanoukville(home) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey(home) | 3-1 | C-League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 2-1 | C-League |
| May 10, 2026 | NagaWorld(home) | 3-0 | C-League |
| May 3, 2026 | Boeung Ket(away) | 0-2 | C-League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kompong Dewa(away) | 0-1 | C-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Angkor Tiger(home) | 2-0 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 National Defense win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Phnom Penh Crown win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Phnom Penh Crown 3-2 National Defense | C-League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | National Defense 1-1 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Phnom Penh Crown 3-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | National Defense 1-2 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Phnom Penh Crown 2-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Dec 4, 2023 | National Defense 0-3 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
Last archived meeting: Phnom Penh Crown vs National Defense on Dec 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
National Defense score 0.8 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 15; Phnom Penh Crown score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Defense | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Phnom Penh Crown | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
National Defense sit 3rd in C-League (21 points from 28 matches) and Phnom Penh Crown sit 3rd (56 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | National Defense | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 76 | 21 |
| 3 | Phnom Penh Crown | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown?
- The Footlab model makes Phnom Penh Crown the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for National Defense.
- Where and when is National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown played?
- National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Army Stadium, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.