National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Army Stadium, Phnom Penh
The Footlab AI model makes Phnom Penh Crown the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for National Defense. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Phnom Penh Crown is a heavy favourite: 1,775 Elo points against 1,358, a 417-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
National Defense
4-3-3- 23S. Sreng
- 10M. Bakayoko
- 24A. Mustapha
- 88U. Samura
- 50S. Kataoka
- 14S. Murata
- 3P. Vorn
- 15V. Suk
- 4R. Buth
- 2O. Vinun
- 1L. Mat
Phnom Penh Crown
4-3-3- 10M. Dyer
- 14V. Gryshyn
- 28Daniel Bareš
- 20P. Koeut
- 8Orn Chanpolin
- 29U. Sa
- 32E. Ratana
- 5R. Feher
- 4R. Ketting
- 15Choun Chanchav
- 22Oum Vicheth
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, National Defense have 1 win, 1 draw and 13 defeats; Phnom Penh Crown have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | NagaWorld(home) | 4-5 | C-League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-6 | C-League |
| May 16, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey(away) | 0-6 | C-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Visakha(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Kuching FA(home) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angkor Tiger(away) | 2-2 | C-League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | NagaWorld(home) | 2-2 | C-League |
| May 17, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 2-1 | C-League |
| May 10, 2026 | NagaWorld(home) | 3-0 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 National Defense wins, 1 draw, 5 Phnom Penh Crown wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Phnom Penh Crown 3-2 National Defense | C-League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | National Defense 1-1 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Phnom Penh Crown 3-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | National Defense 1-2 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Phnom Penh Crown 2-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Dec 4, 2023 | National Defense 0-3 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
Last archived meeting: Phnom Penh Crown vs National Defense on Dec 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
National Defense score 0.9 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 15; Phnom Penh Crown score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Defense | 0.9 | 3.6 | 0 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Phnom Penh Crown | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
National Defense sit 11th in C-League (0 points from 3 matches) and Phnom Penh Crown sit 7th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Phnom Penh Crown | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | National Defense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
A question about National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown?
- The Footlab AI model makes Phnom Penh Crown the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for National Defense.
- Where and when is National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown played?
- National Defense vs Phnom Penh Crown is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Army Stadium, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.