Match

Phönix L. II vs Oldenburger SV: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 28Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Phönix L. IIOldenburger SV

The Footlab model makes Phönix L. II the favourite at 54%, against 18% for a draw and 28% for Oldenburger SV. The most likely score is 2-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phönix L. II vs Oldenburger SV?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Phönix L. II (1,783) and Oldenburger SV (1,689).

Phönix L. II win54 %
Draw18 %
Oldenburger SV win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix L. II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Oldenburger SV have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phönix L. II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026VfR Neumünster(home)2-3Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 15, 2026Kaltenkirchen(away)2-1Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 8, 2026Holstein Kiel II(away)4-3Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 4, 2026VfB Lübeck(away)1-3Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 1, 2026Nordmark Satrup(home)4-2Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Oldenburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Union Neumünster(home)1-4Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 15, 2026Nordmark Satrup(away)3-1Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 7, 2026Rotenhof(home)2-2Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 4, 2026Lübeck II(home)4-0Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 1, 2026TSB Flensburg(away)1-2Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Phönix L. II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Oldenburger SV win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2026Oldenburger SV 4-4 Phönix L. IIOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 24, 2025Phönix L. II 2-2 Oldenburger SVOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

Last archived meeting: Oldenburger SV vs Phönix L. II on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Phönix L. II score 2.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Oldenburger SV score 1.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Phönix L. II2.72.7013/1514/15
Oldenburger SV1.92.7113/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Phönix L. II sit 5th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (9 points from 5 matches) and Oldenburger SV sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Phönix L. II530213129
9Oldenburger SV521211147

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phönix L. II vs Oldenburger SV?
The Footlab model makes Phönix L. II the favourite at 54%, against 18% for a draw and 28% for Oldenburger SV.
Where and when is Phönix L. II vs Oldenburger SV played?
Phönix L. II vs Oldenburger SV is played on May 1, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Phönix L. II and Oldenburger SV

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