TSB Flensburg vs Kaltenkirchen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 28Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Eckener Straße, Flensburg
The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Kaltenkirchen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSB Flensburg vs Kaltenkirchen?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate TSB Flensburg (1,750) and Kaltenkirchen (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSB Flensburg have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Kaltenkirchen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Eichede(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
How many goals should we expect?
TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kaltenkirchen score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Kaltenkirchen | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSB Flensburg sit 4th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (10 points from 5 matches) and Kaltenkirchen sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Kaltenkirchen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSB Flensburg vs Kaltenkirchen?
- The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Kaltenkirchen.
- Where and when is TSB Flensburg vs Kaltenkirchen played?
- TSB Flensburg vs Kaltenkirchen is played on May 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Eckener Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.