Pianese vs Grosseto: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Piancastagnaio
The Footlab model makes Pianese the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Grosseto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pianese vs Grosseto?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Pianese (1,851) and Grosseto (1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pianese have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Grosseto have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(home) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Championship Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Pianese win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Grosseto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Pianese 1-3 Grosseto | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Grosseto 1-1 Pianese | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Pianese 0-2 Grosseto | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Grosseto 1-1 Pianese | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Pianese 1-1 Grosseto | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Pianese score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Grosseto score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pianese | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Grosseto | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pianese vs Grosseto?
- The Footlab model makes Pianese the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Grosseto.
- Where and when is Pianese vs Grosseto played?
- Pianese vs Grosseto is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.